Ah, the Fed – that notorious puppeteer pulling strings behind the curtain of the grand theater we call finance. In the weeks limping toward their September 17 announcement, the crypto crowd and their finance comrades held their breath tighter than a miser clutching his last coin. The chatter was deafening: “Rate cuts! Rate cuts!” The FedWatch Tool, that oracle of probabilities, sung a siren song boasting a 97.6% chance of slicing those rates. And as the moment neared, the crowd’s hope didn’t waver – no, they stood firm, eyes gleaming with feverish anticipation and wallets trembling.
Rate Cuts: The Great Descent to 4.0%-4.25% Interest Rates
Like a prophet bewitched by his own words, the market clings to the tale of falling rates. The FedWatch Tool, perched on the CME Group’s throne, now whispers a steady belief that by September 17, rates will bow to the ground between 4.00% and 4.25%. The masses, having waxed poetic about rate cuts for weeks, still chant this mantra – a 96.1% probability today, barely budged from the glory 97.6% peak deserving of its own statue.
But lo! The plot thickens with a twist worthy of a bawdy tavern tale: a 3.9% chance that rates might tumble even further – to 3.75%-4.00% – a newfangled hope sprouting fresh like weeds in a garden of despair. This sudden flip-flop betrays the jittery mood of those gazing into their crystal balls – the FOMC meeting is no longer just a stage, but a tempest brewing.

Yet amidst this maddening carnival, one truth remains ironclad: zilch, nada, goose egg chance of a rate hike. That unthinkable path would send markets crashing like an overambitious dreamer tumbling from his high horse – bearish, brutal, and utterly unforgiving.
Crypto Market on the Brink of a Bumpy Ride 🎢💸
Should the Fed bless us with a rate cut to 4.00%-4.25%, risk-loving denizens of crypto and equities will likely pop champagne bottles – or at least nod approvingly in front of their glowing screens. Low rates ignite the gambler’s spark; suddenly, all is possible, and the crypto rockets may well ignite their engines.
But hold your horses! The aftermath will be no gentle float downstream. Volatility will dance wildly in those first frantic hours post-announcement, a harlequin’s jig of blood and tears on the trading floor. Maybe, just maybe, the Fed abstains from any change – a lukewarm neither-here-nor-there move that’s slightly less exciting than watching paint dry, neither bulls nor bears cheering loudly. But beware, an interest rate hike? That would be the market’s version of a slap in the face, sending chaos and cries through the streets.

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2025-09-17 12:13