XRP Price Prediction: A Battle of $1.40 and $1.50-Who Will Blink First?

by

As of February 25, 2026, XRP, in its usual dramatic fashion, is hovering around $1.39, scraping a meager 3-4% rebound over the last 24 hours. This dazzling performance comes with a daily spot volume approaching $3 billion across major exchanges-because nothing says “stable” quite like a crypto market rollercoaster.

Now, the juicy question on everyone’s lips: Is this period of consolidation a mere breather before an exhilarating surge? Or is it just a fancy term for a pause in a broader downward spiral? The $1.40 level has become the pivot point of the moment, with multiple rejections this past week, like an ill-fitting tuxedo at a wedding.

Technical Structure Signals Cautious Optimism

Let’s look at the 4-hour XRP/USDT chart on TradingView. The $1.40 level has been tested repeatedly, with each dip printing progressively lower sell volume. Oh, the suspense! This could suggest supply absorption rather than an all-out fire sale, but don’t get too excited just yet. A real breakout requires a sustained push. Patience, dear reader.

On the weekly chart, the structure remains firmly planted above the $1.24-$1.30 support range, where previous buyers have casually dipped their toes. If weekly closes remain above this zone, then the overall structure remains as bullish as a cheerleader at a football game.

Let’s take a look at momentum indicators, which reflect compression, not expansion:

  • Bollinger Bands are tightening, indicating we’re all in a “let’s wait and see” phase.
  • RSI is chilling in neutral territory-not oversold, not overbought, just…existing.
  • XRP is still trailing beneath its 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, which are sloping downward. So, the medium-term pressure is still here, folks. Enjoy.

For those who like a bit more drama, a daily close above $1.50 with volume surpassing the 20-day average would trigger a higher high, which could lead to a push towards $1.62-$1.65. Without this, we remain in range-bound purgatory.

Liquidity Behavior and Market Positioning

The recent price action saw a sharp spike after a sweep of local lows near $1.30, which, from a market structure perspective, looks like a liquidity grab. In other words, sell stops were triggered before the price decided to reverse course. Classic crypto antics.

Now, if you’re into jargon, you’ll hear words like “order block” and “effort versus result” thrown around, but let’s be real: it’s all about how the price absorbed heavy selling near the monthly lows and bounced back. Whether this reflects institutional moves or a good ol’ short squeeze is anyone’s guess, but don’t expect spot charts to spill the beans.

Derivatives data, however, is cool as a cucumber. Perpetual funding rates are neutral, which means there’s no excessive leverage skew. So, liquidation cascades? Not in the immediate future, thankfully. This gives further credence to the theory of compression before any serious expansion.

Ripple, Regulation, and Structural Drivers Behind XRP

not all institutional sales were deemed securities, so we can all take a collective sigh of relief. For now.

Despite this, the regulatory landscape for digital assets in the U.S. remains as clear as mud. Future guidance could still rock the boat, so don’t throw out your life jackets just yet.

On the ETF front, XRP-linked exchange-traded products launched in late 2025. While capital inflows have been positive, exact numbers are more elusive than a unicorn in a fog. So, while ETFs are supportive, they’re not the be-all and end-all of price direction.

Key Levels to Watch

If you’re a short-term trader or just like to live dangerously, here are the levels to keep an eye on:

  • Support: $1.30-$1.32
  • Structural weekly support: $1.24
  • Immediate resistance: $1.45-$1.46
  • Breakout confirmation: A high-volume close above $1.50
  • Next upside region: $1.62-$1.65

 

Measured Outlook

The current XRP price setup screams “compression” rather than “trend reversal.” Volatility is shrinking. Liquidity is clustering. Momentum is, well, neutral. But if XRP clears the $1.50 mark with some gusto, then the technical structure could shift to a higher high, which would improve the chances of continued upward movement. Without that, we’re still stuck in the consolidation zone, where the risk is balanced in both directions.

For now, the $1.40-$1.50 range is the magic zone. Will it break, or will it stay? Only time (and possibly a few more chart patterns) will tell.

Read More

2026-02-25 23:09