Will Bitcoin Crash to $50K by 2026? Spoiler Alert: It’s Complicated

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So, Bitcoin – that magical internet money that’s as stable as a house of cards in a tornado – hit a new all-time high of $124,000 in mid-August. Naturally, it did what any self-respecting volatile asset would do and took a nosedive, now trading around $110,958. But don’t worry, the investment world is still wringing its hands, wondering if this is the calm before the storm or just another Tuesday.

Enter Joao Wedson, a man with a plan (and a very catchy name) who believes Bitcoin’s future is tied to one thing: its four-year cycle. Now, he’s predicting that Bitcoin’s bubble might just pop around 2026, and not gently, mind you – think more of a $50,000 floor and less of a soft landing. You see, Bitcoin tends to peak around 18 months after its halving events (which, by the way, sounds like the title of a medieval fantasy novel). According to Wedson, this time won’t be different – or at least, that’s what history would suggest. Hold onto your digital wallets, folks.

Brace for Impact

Wedson, CEO of Alphractal (which, let’s face it, sounds like something out of a sci-fi movie), is warning that if Bitcoin sticks to its usual cycle, we could be looking at the end of the current bullish phase as soon as next month. And guess where it’s headed? Yep, straight down to that cozy $50,000 mark by late 2026. He’s not exactly predicting an apocalypse, but let’s just say he’s not picking out Bitcoin-themed confetti for 2026 celebrations just yet.

But hey, this is Bitcoin we’re talking about. Everything could change. After all, we’ve got factors like ETF inflows, institutional demand, and global liquidity just throwing a wrench in all those neat little patterns. Let’s not forget, investors have been down this road before, thinking “this time is different,” only to be left holding the bag. Classic.

Now, some experts are squawking in the background, suggesting that Bitcoin might just break $140,000 before the crash happens. Because of course, it will. They point to momentum from Asia-US liquidity corridors, which are basically just fancy words for “some big players are still buying.” And if that wasn’t enough, the ever-enigmatic Elon Musk has hinted that US political chaos could cause volatility in Q4 2025, further muddying the crystal ball of Bitcoin’s future.

Clash Over Bitcoin’s Q4 Fate

But wait – not everyone is sipping the “Bitcoin is doomed” Kool-Aid. Quinten Francois, the host of something called CoinCompass (because why not have a name that sounds like a GPS for cryptocurrency?), is pushing back. He’s not entirely convinced that Bitcoin will top out in Q4 2025. According to him, while a local top is “possible” (because who doesn’t love possibilities?), the broader cycle might extend further because, surprise, the liquidity cycle isn’t over yet. Who knew there were so many cycles in crypto?

So, there you have it. Will Bitcoin keep soaring, crash spectacularly, or just flounder awkwardly in between? No one really knows. But that’s what makes it so exciting, right? 🎢💰

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2025-09-05 20:23