Bitcoin (BTC) traders, rest assured that in the cryptic cosmos of cryptocurrency, we may just be on the cusp of a rather dramatic turnaround. Behold, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) is poised to practically play hopscotch with the 200-day SMA smack dab near $100,000 come mid-November-almost as if to say, “Ta-da! We’re approaching a local bottom.”
Then we have the alternative analysis brigade, where lunar phases-yes, you heard right-moon phases, get painted on price charts like modern art. First Quarter moons, apparently, have a peculiar knack for preceding rallies that extend all the way to the Full Moon or the Third Quarter moon. It’s a celestial symphony, if you will, that’s captivating those who like to gaze at crypto in the dark glow of their screens.
The Right Cross and Resilient Support Levels: What’s Next for Bitcoin in November?
Now, about this so-called “death cross”-a moment when the 50-day and 200-day SMAs tango in what is presumed to be a notorious dance, often heralding a momentary decrease in price. Happening in mid-November, in the neighbourhood of $100,000, it looms ominously yet doesn’t tend to herald eternal financial doom.
According to the sages at Binance, the price change about a month after such an event has historically been a paltry -3.2%. Goes to show, not even a death cross can throttle an eternal bear market, it seems.
An analyst by the name of Colin has ventured that the lowest conceivable stop for Bitcoin in this latest bull campaign hovers around $98,000, neatly aligned with other support lines. It’s almost like it likes its anchors void of any company; after all, the 50-week SMA has been a loyal shoulder since the early days of Q1 2023.
It looks like a $BTC bottom could be reached mid-November.
This is based on when the 50 day SMA (blue line) and 200 day SMA (white line) are roughly projected to intersect, which has marked most past local bottoms.
Furthermore, the lowest I can see BTC reasonably going (and…
– Colin Talks Crypto 🪙 (@ColinTCrypto) October 30, 2025
From the vaults of Binance data in October 2025, we learn that the 50-week SMA is tightening its financial belt at about $101,700. A landmark, it seems, because since the early chapters of 2023, Bitcoin has never dared to close a weekly candle below it. Analyst Ted Pillows has highlighted this crucial support point in his October dispatch. Sit tight, Bitcoin, because you gotta hold this line if the bull wants to stay in the run.
$BTC hasn’t closed a weekly candle below 50 SMA since Q1 2023.
This is the level Bitcoin needs to hold for this bull run to continue.
– Ted (@TedPillows) October 30, 2025
A weekly closing below this support level might chant the incantation for a market downturn. And yet, picture this: amid the buzz of positive long-term vibes, Bitcoin’s weekly chart now showcases a rising wedge- a misleading pattern that cries “bearish” but whispers, “willing to waver rather than wallow.”
In some less enlightened cycles of the past, like those in 2018 and 2021, we saw declines ranging from 15% to 35%. But fear not, because the current tapestry still displays an upward trend with Bitcoin habitually securing higher lows and higher highs since 2022.
So while the present sees Bitcoin calmly paring between $105,000 and $110,000, almost as wisely as sipping tea on a lazy afternoon, it’s deemed more as a sleeping beauty awaiting her mid-November resurrection, rather than a market meltdown.
As Colin muses, patience is not merely a virtue but a mandate for Bitcoin holders, especially where altcoin adventurers dwell. The recent bear market bucked the roaring tradition, leaving a low of $15,000 whispering secrets below the old highs of $20,000. Remarkable, even by digital asset standards.
When the Moon Winks at Bitcoin: A Strip of Silver-Lining
For some peculiarly pattern-seeking traders, Bitcoin’s price dances not only to the rhythm of economic trends but also celestial ones. Analyst LP_NXT’s lunar lunacy alludes to a rhythm as predictable as the phases themselves, with each First Quarter moon historically heralding the start of a new positive surge reaching out to the Full or Third Quarter moons.
$BTC – Lunar Cycle Theory 🌕
If you overlay Bitcoin’s price action with the moon phases, there’s a clear rhythm that’s repeated all year.
Each First Quarter Moon often marks the start of a new cycle – historically followed by a rally that extends into the Full Moon or Third…
– LP (@LP_NXT) October 30, 2025
The October 29 First Quarter moon, as it turns out, might be a harbinger of fortune, collaboratively choreographed with technical divination pointing to a November rebound.
While the pragmatic could scoff at the lunacy of lunar charts, there’s something undeniably enchanting about this blend of astro-trends and mundane market supports, especially for those in the market who prefer the dance floor to be equally peppered with science and whimsy.
A Bullish Encore Amidst Thrusts of Consolidation
Despite the spine-tingling tensions of short-term technical trepidation, the compounded chorus of long-term bullish momentum crescendos on. Colin champions the cause of caution and basks in the potential of patience until the ascent to new peaks.
The notorious death cross, although reputed for its farewell thoughts, more often whistles a signal of capitulation-when selling fiction is exhausted, and reality, however briefly, strikes a chord in Bitcoin’s narrative.
As October 2025 draws to a close, Bitcoin stands on the tightrope above the 50-week SMA, balancing the fate of its bull market narrative. The mid-November window, backed by both moving averages galore and lunar lore, has opened the doors for those eager to anticipate Bitcoin’s thrilling saga.
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2025-10-31 10:59