Ah, dear reader, gather ’round as we delve into the whimsical world of macroeconomics, where our esteemed oracle, Luke Gromen, has donned his thinking cap and declared that two assets are the golden tickets for those wishing to safeguard their wealth amidst the impending doom of government capital controls. 🏦💰
In a rather riveting YouTube escapade, Gromen, the mastermind behind the investment firm Forest For The Trees (and no, it’s not a nature documentary), posits that the ongoing trade spat between the good ol’ US of A and the industrious folks in China is about as sustainable as a chocolate teapot. Unless, of course, capital controls come into play, which, let’s face it, is as likely as a cat attending a dog show.
He quips,
“What is crystal clear to me – while I don’t know how and where and when – but what is crystal clear is that you can’t have a trade war with the world’s factory, China, and the world’s biggest creditor, China, who has significant capital controls, China, you can’t have a very long trade war until you have to start putting in capital controls yourself, your opponents need to start putting in capital controls.”
Now, if that doesn’t tickle your fancy, he continues with a flourish,
“It could start in Europe, that’s probably where it would, but America would have to do it, too. And I don’t know if they’ll be explicit if we let it go that long, but it would be things like ‘hey, to maintain the tax-deferred status of your pension or your 401K or your IRA, etc., you now need to hold 30% of the assets in 30-year Treasuries, have a good day’.”
Ah, the joys of bureaucracy! One can almost hear the collective groan of investors everywhere. Gromen warns that if the trade war drags on like a particularly tedious family reunion, those with open capital accounts will become the proverbial cash cows for those with more closed accounts. 🐄💸
Our sage investor suggests that this rather sticky situation would necessitate Western governments to whip out their capital control playbooks, which might include restricting certain investments, taxing transactions, or, heaven forbid, blocking the flow of capital like a traffic cop on a busy street.
But fear not, for Gromen has a glimmer of hope! He proposes that holding Bitcoin (BTC) and gold might just be the secret sauce to weather this economic storm. 🌩️
“So then that’s when you’d have to see capital controls, and once one starts, they’re all going to have to do it relatively quickly.”
And in a moment of sheer brilliance, he concludes,
“What does this mean? My read of it is… I’d rather be years early owning decent little chunks of gold and Bitcoin than one day late. Because when you’re one day late, too late.”
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2025-05-21 23:06