What to know:
- Bitcoin and most of its digital cousins fell over 3% as profit-takers came running faster than a gambler smelling free whiskey, dragging bitcoin down toward $83,500. I’ve seen riverboats stay afloat with less drama.
- Solana, meanwhile, is hanging tough at its 50-day moving average and looking just ornery enough to make another run. If cryptos had a sheriff, Solana would be leaning on a bale of hay looking smug.
- Dogecoin whales—those mysterious river monsters of the crypto world—snapped up over 800 million DOGE in a single day, which either means something big and sly is brewing or your neighbor is just feeling extra lucky.
Bitcoin (BTC) and its plucky band of merry altcoins took a nosedive greater than Aunt Polly’s souffle after Tuesday’s rally. Three percent down isn’t much for a steamboat, but for crypto fans, that’s enough to make the faint-hearted clutch their pearls. Market cap dipped 3.3%, BTC flopping to $83,500, a day after flexing above $84,200. Ether (ETH) and Cardano’s ADA tumbled up to 5%, which is still one more percent than my Uncle Silas’s approval rating at last year’s hog-calling contest.
Still, the whole crypto market is up 8% over seven days, hovering around $2.7 trillion—a number so big, Tom Sawyer would find a way to trade it for a fence whitewash.
Over at FxPro, Alex Kuptsikevich is betting that if the market pops above that mythical 200-day average near $2.97 trillion, folks will have another excuse to holler “to the moon!”—but only after some proper consolidation, like drying laundry on a Mississippi July afternoon.
“Bitcoin keeps inching higher, trading above its 50-day average and sniffing at $85,700,” says Kuptsikevich, probably with a pipe in hand. “This could be a technical reversal, unless it’s just another case of wishful thinkin’. The 200-day average is close, so maybe we’ll see a trend reversal sooner than a cat on a hot tin roof. Then again, don’t bet your fishing boat on it—bitcoin’s in a stubborn resistance zone and might lose its pep.”
Solana’s SOL—tougher than a boot heel and twice as shiny in a muddy market—could break even higher if the stars align. Or at least that’s what the folks with big hats and even bigger charts are hoping.
“Solana is bouncing back quicker than most, trading near $130. If it can stick above this level, there’s a path to $145, where last summer’s dreams went to die. And if momentum holds, maybe even $180, where bigger bags are waiting,” that Kuptsikevich fellow added.
Not to rain on everyone’s parade, but chart-reading veteran Peter Brandt poked his head into the saloon to say he isn’t counting on new bitcoin highs just yet.
“A trendline break don’t mean the party’s started, BTC. Sorry,” said Peter, crushing some bullish dreams on X with the gusto of a riverboat captain rejecting counterfeit poker chips.
Lots of amateur chartists are noting this trendline.
Of all chart construction, trendlines are the LEAST significant. A trendline violation does NOT signify a transition of trend $BTC
Sorry— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) April 15, 2025
Trendlines, like weather vanes in a tornado, are as fickle as a cat in a dog show. They tell you something’s up, but you won’t know what till the dust settles. Still, a break, alongside technical hoop-jumping, could mean markets are fixing to move—either up or down, or maybe just sideways to irritate everyone.
If you want your fortune told for Wednesday—AI’s got a few chicken bones to throw for you:
Dogecoin Price Analysis as Whales Accumulate 800M DOGE
- Picture this: Dogecoin whales wrangled over 800 million DOGE in two days, possibly because they’re either feeling brave or forgot memo-to-self: “Don’t trade on a full moon.”
- DOGE is tiptoeing around $0.154-$0.155, bumping its head on $0.157 resistance, while the floor’s $0.153. If it falls through, grab your hat and run for cover.
- DOGE soared to $0.169 before pirouetting into a dance of lower highs and lower lows since April 14th. I’ve seen sturdier growth in my Aunt Sally’s tomato patch.
- Support at $0.155 is practically patched-up duct tape by now, and each big price move has folks trading faster than a cat in a rocking chair store.
- With the Fibonacci retracement near the 0.618 level, DOGE might just be hunkering down for another round of “Will it? Won’t it?” Spoiler: even the riverboats won’t bet on it.
- If you blinked between 05:19-05:24, you missed DOGE dropping 1.1% in five minutes. Volume spiked, traders yelped, dogs barked. 🚨
- The recovery saw a double bottom at $0.153; now it’s consolidating at $0.154, probably wondering what it did to deserve this life.
- Volume tells the tale: plenty of folks dumped before the drop, but the recovery saw buyers loading up—either an act of confidence or plain crazy optimism.
Solana Shows Consolidation
- Recent SOL prices stagger around like a steamboat after two jugs of whiskey—trading between $125 and $132, following a 13.7% stampede from $119.59 to $136.01.
- Solana now leads decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes, outpacing Ethereum for three days straight with $2.43 billion. That’s enough trading to buy everyone in town a new hat.
- After the initial rally, buying dried up like river mud in July. Market seems unsure whether to shoot or shuffle.
- The $125.25 zone is standing guard as key support, doing its best impression of a bored bingo caller waiting for action.
- If things go south, Fibonacci says watch $127.40 for a possible soft landing. It’s like waiting for the rain: you hope, you wish, but mostly you wait around staring at clouds.
- The 50-hour moving average at $129.80’s the new line in the sand. Cross it, and you might see fireworks—or maybe just more dust.
Cardano Sees 8% Bellyflop in Volatile Session
- ADA danced up from $0.618 to $0.667 (an 8% rodeo ride), then promptly tripped and fell back to earth. If nothing else, it’s putting on a show.
- Recent action has ADA moping between $0.605-$0.615, with more folks selling than a discount barn at county fair week.
- Selling pressure is up, momentum indicators are oversold, and the hope for a bounceback is flimsier than Huck’s first raft.
- There seems to be some shrewdness buying at the bottom, maybe laying the groundwork for a rescue, but ADA faces the mighty 200-hour moving average above—a barrier tougher than getting Tom Sawyer to do his own chores.
- Bottom line: ADA’s falling, volume’s up on the downswing, and unless the market gets a fresh gust of wind, it’ll still be stuck in the low weeds come morning.
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2025-04-16 11:14