Key Takeaways
Will BTC recover this week?
Ah, the Jobs report! That fickle muse of economic fortune, whose numbers dance like shadows in the flickering candlelight of Wall Street’s grandest hall. Should its tale be one of woe-a weak report-then lo! The Fed’s mythical rate cut might emerge from the mist, bestowing relief upon the crypto realm. But should it sing of prosperity, the scribes of doom shall sharpen their quills, and the sell-off shall deepen like a Russian winter’s grip. 🌬️
What’s the analysts’ outlook on the same?
Swissblock, that stoic bard of crypto, whispers of BTC’s potential stabilization. Meanwhile, QCP Capital and Nansen, those grim prophets of market mayhem, warn of a descent to $80k-a price so low, one might mistake it for a typo. 😅
Bitcoin [BTC], that digital Icarus, clings precariously above $90k after a brief flirtation with $89.2k on the 18th of November. The stage is set for the September Jobs report, due on the 20th, a date as fateful as Napoleon’s crossing of the Berezina. 🏴
This report, delayed by the U.S. government’s grand hiatus, shall dictate the Fed’s next move and, by extension, the fate of risk assets. At present, the market wavers like a drunkard between two stools: a cautious pause or a 25 bps cut. 🤷

On the 20th, the labor market’s secrets shall be unveiled, guiding the Fed’s December dance. For QCP Capital, this data will decide whether BTC soars like a phoenix or plummets into the abyss. 🎭
“Behold! The late-cycle whispers grow louder than recessionary dirges, yet fiscal constraints and thinning liquidity threaten to turn BTC’s drop into a tragedy of epic proportions-or merely a chapter in a longer saga.”
Is BTC’s drop below $90k inevitable?
Arthur Hayes, that grizzled veteran of BitMEX, and QCP Capital agree: liquidity has evaporated like a summer mirage. The deleveraging of October 10th, macro uncertainty, and the “liquidity squeeze” have conspired to plunge markets into chaos. 🌪️
Yet hope flickers! December may bring liquidity’s return, just as the Fed’s decision looms. But before then, Nicolai Søndergaard of Nansen, that gloomy seer, warns of a potential slide to $80k-$85k. In a letter to AMBCrypto, he mused:
“BTC options data, that cryptic oracle, hints at a journey toward $80k. Yet a bounce, like a peasant’s last stand, remains… somewhat probable.”
On-chain data, that silent chronicler of market souls, suggests stabilization is nigh. Miners, once net sellers, now buy with the fervor of a miser clutching gold. Short-term holders capitulate daily, their $427 million losses echoing the tragedies of War and Peace. 📜


In sum, the market teeters on the edge of a knife. The Jobs report and Fed’s whims shall decide whether this is crypto’s “Anna Karenina” moment or a mere footnote in its wild odyssey. 📖
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2025-11-19 22:52