Bitcoin’s Short-Term Holders Are Shooting for the Moon – Will BTC Crash or Skyrocket?

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Bitcoin‘s Short-Term Holders Are Shooting for the Moon – Will BTC Crash or Skyrocket?

  • Bitcoin’s unrealized profits vibe is at a cheeky 27% – profit party or trap door? 🍾🤔
  • And guess what? The magic number on the horizon: $162k. Yep, that’s a pretty serious daydream.

So, Bitcoin has been strutting around like it just got a new haircut—smashing records, hitting fresh all-time highs. Our favourite digital gold is on a roll, and short-term holders? They’re living the high life, raking in the profits like it’s Monopoly night but with real money. Simple as this: these guys have seen their gains crank up faster than your grandma’s gossip. 💸

Bitcoin STH gains chart

And, of course, analysts are sweating a little, chin in hand, pondering how long this buzz can last. According to CryptoQuant’s brainiac Axel Adler, the unrealized profit indicator for simple folk holding coins for 1-3 months is chillin’ at 27%. Seems like a holiday season—people are holding on, dreaming of a cash splash but maybe forgetting that profits aren’t exactly souvenirs forever.

Holders haven’t started selling yet—they’re still clinging to their 4,600 BTC like it’s the last slice of pizza. But history, that cruel teacher, shows us that when these profits top 40%, the sell-off snowball begins. So, yeah, the market’s dance floor might get crowded soon, and everyone will want to make a move.

Historical profit surge graph

Picture this: over the past four years, when the profit indicator hit that risky 40% mark, STHs started selling like it’s Black Friday, pushing prices down and kicking off corrections. So, some smart folks believe we’re riding the same wave again, aiming for around 40% in just over two weeks. If the numbers keep climbing at the current pace—a steady 0.818% daily growth—we’re eyeing a big ol’ $162,000 BTC around June 11, 2025. Be there or be square! 🚀

But hey, don’t get your hopes too high—Adler’s fancy math doesn’t sniff out Trump’s tweetstorms or any surprise black swans that could derail the plan. Macro stuff stays steady, and Bitcoin might hit its high without much drama.

What’s next for Bitcoin? Spoiler: More drama, more gains, maybe a little panic.

The short-term holders, despite their recent jackpot, haven’t quite hit the sell button—yet. Their profit metric, STH MVRV, is hanging around 1.14, just shy of the magic 1.2 that’s usually the green light for selling sprees. So they’re still holding onto what they got, dreaming of even bigger wins.

Holder profit metrics

This means no mass panic selling just yet. Why? Because these guys think the current market’s not juicy enough to tempt them out of their digital treasure chests. They’re sticking around, waiting for another rally—kind of like clingy exes hoping the good times will come back.

In the meantime, Bitcoin could rebound from the recent dip, rallying up to around $115k and giving investors a shot of confidence before trying for that big 162k target. But remember—if things stay as linear as Adler suggests, BTC might just hit that sweet 162k, if all the cosmos align and turbulence stays at bay.

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2025-05-27 04:09