Key Takeaways (Because Who Has Time for the Whole Story?)
What’s driving current weakness? (Spoiler: It’s Not Just Your Ex)
Macro uncertainty and a tech-market tantrum that’s spilled over into BTC and crypto like a red wine stain on a white couch. 🍷🛋️
What are analysts’ projections? (AKA The Crystal Ball Gang)
QCP Capital reckons risk assets, including crypto, will rally into year-end, thanks to Federal Reserve rate cuts. Because nothing says “party time” like central bank policy. 🎉📉
On the 11th of November, Bitcoin [BTC] gave back its early-week recovery gains faster than a Black Friday shopper returning a faulty toaster. Price rejection at $107.5k? Thanks, broader tech-driven market rout and macro uncertainty. You’re a real charmer. 😒
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.25% on the 12th of November. Lately, BTC’s been trading as a Nasdaq beta with a strong positive correlation. Basically, they’re attached at the hip like that couple you low-key hate. 💑📈
And surprise, surprise, the altcoin market mirrored BTC’s price dip. Because when Bitcoin sneezes, altcoins catch pneumonia. 🤧🤒

Overall, crypto market sentiment is at “extreme fear” levels, with readings in the 20-30 range since the 4th of November. Sounds like Q1 2025 all over again, before the bottom was formed. Déjà vu, anyone? 🌀😱
Is a recovery possible? (Or Are We Just Clinging to Hope?)
As of writing, BTC’s back at $105k, with mixed results across the board. Large caps like Binance coin [BNB] are trading below $1000, and Solana [SOL] is clinging to $160 like it’s the last slice of pizza. 🍕💔

According to QCP Capital, the potential end to the U.S. government shutdown has cleared the near-term risk. But let’s not get too comfy-potential caution from the Fed ahead of the December rate decision is still looming like a storm cloud at a picnic. ☁️🌧️
The firm added,
“Private data like ADP and the NFIB Index now carry extra weight amid the data blackout, both pointing to softer labour conditions and cautious business sentiment. For the Fed, this reinforces the ‘easing with caution’ narrative heading into the Dec FOMC (Dec 9-10).”
As of press time, the market’s pricing a 36% chance the Fed will keep rates unchanged at 3.75%-4.00%. Meanwhile, 63% are betting on another 25 bps cut. Because nothing says “certainty” like a coin toss. 🤷♀️🪙

QCP projects that a potential rate cut and resilient corporate earnings could “support risk sentiment and BTC into year-end.” So, basically, we’re all just crossing our fingers and hoping for a Christmas miracle. 🎄🙏
ETF inflows have also been mixed lately, keeping BTC in a choppy zone. Because why have stability when you can have chaos? 🎢😵
Even so, reclaiming $107K and the H2 price range could reinforce the bullish structure for BTC on the price chart. And for ETH, surging above $3,700 and reaching the November high of $3,900 would be like a warm hug on a cold day. 🤗❄️

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2025-11-13 11:54