Ah, the fickle dance of Bitcoin! Long-term holders, those stoic guardians of digital gold, have decided to lighten their wallets, offloading a staggering $43 billion worth of BTC over the past month. 🤑 What a spectacle-a veritable bazaar of greed and caution!
“Red October” has come and gone, leaving behind a trail of shaken convictions and dampened spirits. Yet, the analysts, ever the optimists, wave their hands dismissively, insisting this is no harbinger of doom. 🧐 But who are we to believe? The numbers, or the soothsayers of the crypto world?
The Great Offload: Long-Term Holders and Their Bitcoin Ballet
CryptoQuant, that oracle of blockchain data, reveals that long-term holders have parted with approximately 405,000 BTC-a sum that makes even the most jaded financier blush. 🕰️ Bitcoinsensus, with a shrug, reminds us: “We’ve seen this before-March 2024, December 2024/January 2025. Old wine in new bottles, no?”
“Long-Term Holders have offloaded 405,000 BTC in the past 30 days 🧯” – Maartunn (@JA_Maartun) November 2, 2025
Take, for instance, the enigmatic address 195DJ, an early Bitcoin whale, who sold 13,004 BTC in October. Among this hoard was 1,200 BTC, worth a cool $132 million, sent to Kraken over the weekend. A mere trifle, one might say, but enough to stir the pot. 🦈
BeInCrypto, ever vigilant, reports that other large holders have been shuffling their coins to exchanges, adding to the mounting sell pressure. Meanwhile, institutional demand has waned, like a guest who overstays their welcome. For the first time in seven months, net institutional purchases have dipped below the daily mining supply. 🏦
Even the once-buoyant spot Bitcoin ETFs have lost their luster. The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), the darling of the market, has seen weekly net inflows dwindle to less than 600 BTC over the past three weeks. Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, offers a sobering insight: “Is there enough demand to absorb the supply at higher prices? Since a few weeks ago, the answer is no. Hence, the decline.” 📉
“Instead of looking at Bitcoin long-term holder distribution/spending, I like to look at the other side of the trade. Is there enough demand to absorb the supply at higher prices? Since a few weeks ago the answer is no, and that is why we see prices declining,” Julio Moreno said.
Yet, Moreno adds, on a grander scale, demand for Bitcoin persists-though at a more leisurely pace, like a tortoise in a race it’s not particularly keen on winning. 🐢
Panic? What Panic? Analysts Call It a Bull’s Siesta
Not all see this sell-off as a harbinger of apocalypse. Some, like Credible Crypto, view it as a strategic redistribution-a passing of the torch from the “OGs” to the newcomers of traditional finance. 🏆 “This doesn’t mean the ‘top is in,’” the analyst reassures. “We see this sort of selling in every bull cycle. The price holds, thanks to the inflows from non-OG buyers.”
“The thing is- this doesn’t mean the ‘top is in’ as we see this sort of selling from long term holders during every bull cycle and price is holding up very well despite the sell pressure because of the inflows from non-OG buyers,” the analyst wrote.
Willy Woo, the on-chain sage, chimes in with his characteristic wit: “Long-term holder is a misnomer. Any coin that has aged more than 5 months in a wallet address. LTH supply drops in bull markets because those coins move to new investors. In 2025, it also means a custody rotation to launch a treasury company.” 🧙♂️
“Long term holder is a misnomer. Definition: any coin that has aged more than 5 months in a wallet address. LTH supply will drop in bull markets because those coins move to new investors. In 2025 it also means a custody rotation to launch a treasury company,” Woo remarked.
Yet, despite these reassurances, Bitcoin’s price has taken a hit, slipping over 6% in the past week. BeInCrypto Markets data shows BTC trading at $107,046, down 0.45% in the last 24 hours. A minor setback, or the beginning of a grander drama? Only time will tell. ⏳
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2025-11-04 08:34